Daily Mortgage Comment
December 11, 2007
| Tuesday’s bond market has opened in positive territory as investors await today’s FOMC meeting results. The stock markets are mixed with the Dow down 21 points and the Nasdaq up 3 points. The bond market is currently up 12/32, which will likely improve this morning’s mortgage rates by approximately .250 of a discount point. |
| There is no relevant economic news scheduled for release today, but this afternoon does brings us the results of today’s FOMC meeting. There seems to be a slight consensus that another rate cut is coming today, but with much debate on the size. Some are predicting a quarter point cut while others are calling for a half point. There are still some analysts that think the Fed may wait until early next year before making another move. |
Daily Mortgage Comment
December 10, 2007
| Monday’s bond market has opened in negative territory as Friday’s selling carries into the new week. The stock markets are showing gains with the Dow up 95 points and the Nasdaq up 15 points. The bond market is currently down 12/32, which will likely push this morning’s mortgage rates higher by approximately .250 – .375 of a discount point over Friday’s morning rates. |
| There is no relevant economic news scheduled for release today or tomorrow, but the rest of the week is fairly busy. There are five monthly reports scheduled for release between Wednesday and Friday along with tomorrow’s FOMC meeting. |
Daily Mortgage Comment
December 7, 2007
| Friday’s bond market has opened well in negative territory following stronger than expected employment figures. The stock markets are showing modest losses with the Dow down 2 points and the Nasdaq down 8 points. The bond market is currently down 24/32, which will likely push this morning’s mortgage rates higher by approximately .375 of a discount point over yesterday’s morning rates. |
| The Labor Department posted November’s Employment data this morning, showing that the unemployment rate remained at 4.7% last month and that 94,000 new jobs were added to the economy. Analysts were expecting to see 70,000 jobs and a 0.1% up tick in the unemployment rate. |
Daily Mortgage Comment
December 6, 2007
| Thursday’s bond market has opened in negative territory yet again as the stock markets show early gains and investors await tomorrow’s employment figures. Stocks are in positive territory with the Dow up 35 points and the Nasdaq up 14 points. The bond market is currently down 9/32, which will likely push this morning’s mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point. |
| There is no important news scheduled for release today. The Labor Department did post weekly unemployment claims, saying that 338,000 new claims were filed last week. Analysts were expecting to see 335,000 new claims. This was not enough of a variance to affect trading since the data is considered to be relatively low in importance. |
Daily Mortgage Comment
December 5, 2007
| Wednesday’s bond market has opened in negative territory again following early stock strength and mixed economic news. The stock markets are posting strong gains with the Dow up 101 points while the Nasdaq has gained 33 points. The bond market is currently down 8/32, which will likely push this morning’s mortgage rates higher by approximately .250 of a discount point. |
| The first of today’s two releases gave us favorable news when the 3rd Quarter Productivity index was revised significantly higher. It showed that worker output improved at a 6.3% annual pace. This was higher than the 5.8% that was expected and much higher than the previous estimate of 4.9%. This is good news because high levels of productivity allow economic growth without significant inflationary pressures. |
Weekly Mortgage Talk
December 3, 2007
Mortgage bonds prices rose last week applying downward pressure to mortgage interest rates. Trading was volatile throughout the week as market participants remained concerned over the recent credit issues and high energy prices. Adding to the volatility were triple digit movements in stock prices. For the week, interest rates on government and conventional loans fell by about 1/4 of a discount point.
The employment report Friday will be the most important event this week. ISM Index, productivity, factory orders, and consumer sentiment data will also be important.
