Daily Mortgage Comment
July 21, 2008
Courtesy of Alicia King, Suntrust Mortgage. (703) 335-6889
Mortgage bond prices fell considerably applying upward pressure on mortgage interest rates. Trading remained volatile. Energy prices subsided a bit but not enough to overshadow higher than expected inflation data. Consumer prices rose 1.1%, higher than the expected 0.7% increase. Mortgage bonds sold off following the release Wednesday and continued to fall the rest of the week. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac bailout rumors turned out to be true. Unfortunately, the details remained unclear and left mortgage investors still on edge. For the week, interest rates on government and conventional loans rose by about 2 discount points or 1/2% in rate.
Leading economic indicators data Monday will set the tone for trading next week. Be cautious heading into the data releases.
Daily Mortgage Comment
December 11, 2007
| Tuesday’s bond market has opened in positive territory as investors await today’s FOMC meeting results. The stock markets are mixed with the Dow down 21 points and the Nasdaq up 3 points. The bond market is currently up 12/32, which will likely improve this morning’s mortgage rates by approximately .250 of a discount point. |
| There is no relevant economic news scheduled for release today, but this afternoon does brings us the results of today’s FOMC meeting. There seems to be a slight consensus that another rate cut is coming today, but with much debate on the size. Some are predicting a quarter point cut while others are calling for a half point. There are still some analysts that think the Fed may wait until early next year before making another move. |
Daily Mortgage Comment
December 7, 2007
| Friday’s bond market has opened well in negative territory following stronger than expected employment figures. The stock markets are showing modest losses with the Dow down 2 points and the Nasdaq down 8 points. The bond market is currently down 24/32, which will likely push this morning’s mortgage rates higher by approximately .375 of a discount point over yesterday’s morning rates. |
| The Labor Department posted November’s Employment data this morning, showing that the unemployment rate remained at 4.7% last month and that 94,000 new jobs were added to the economy. Analysts were expecting to see 70,000 jobs and a 0.1% up tick in the unemployment rate. |
Daily Mortgage Comment
December 6, 2007
| Thursday’s bond market has opened in negative territory yet again as the stock markets show early gains and investors await tomorrow’s employment figures. Stocks are in positive territory with the Dow up 35 points and the Nasdaq up 14 points. The bond market is currently down 9/32, which will likely push this morning’s mortgage rates higher by approximately .125 of a discount point. |
| There is no important news scheduled for release today. The Labor Department did post weekly unemployment claims, saying that 338,000 new claims were filed last week. Analysts were expecting to see 335,000 new claims. This was not enough of a variance to affect trading since the data is considered to be relatively low in importance. |
Daily Mortgage Comment
December 5, 2007
| Wednesday’s bond market has opened in negative territory again following early stock strength and mixed economic news. The stock markets are posting strong gains with the Dow up 101 points while the Nasdaq has gained 33 points. The bond market is currently down 8/32, which will likely push this morning’s mortgage rates higher by approximately .250 of a discount point. |
| The first of today’s two releases gave us favorable news when the 3rd Quarter Productivity index was revised significantly higher. It showed that worker output improved at a 6.3% annual pace. This was higher than the 5.8% that was expected and much higher than the previous estimate of 4.9%. This is good news because high levels of productivity allow economic growth without significant inflationary pressures. |
Weekly Mortgage Talk
December 3, 2007
Mortgage bonds prices rose last week applying downward pressure to mortgage interest rates. Trading was volatile throughout the week as market participants remained concerned over the recent credit issues and high energy prices. Adding to the volatility were triple digit movements in stock prices. For the week, interest rates on government and conventional loans fell by about 1/4 of a discount point.
The employment report Friday will be the most important event this week. ISM Index, productivity, factory orders, and consumer sentiment data will also be important.
Mortgage Week in Review
November 19, 2007
Last Week In Review
“I CAN SEE CLEARLY NOW, THE RAIN IS GONE…” Johnny Nash hit number one on the charts with this classic tune in 1972…and 35 years later, Fed Chairman Big Ben Bernanke is singing the same tune, mentioning in comments last week that the Fed would be more transparent so we all can see their policies clearly.
The new, improved, and more transparent Fed is a far cry from the days of “The Cryptic One”…Former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan, who was famous for his hidden messages. After a Greenspan speech, many traders were left scratching their heads and wondering what exactly was said. In sharp contrast, Bernanke has been very clear and easy to understand.
More importantly, Ben has done a good job of keeping inflation under control. The latest read on inflation was tame for last month, as a large jump in energy costs were offset by meek automobile, housing, and clothing prices. This suggests that higher oil prices haven’t yet pushed up the prices of other goods overall.
But one topic that is still cloudy is the Fed’s next move on December 11th. The latest chatter from the “more transparent” Fed indicates that the Fed will not cut – but traders in the pits are betting the ranch on another quarter-point cut. One thing is very clear – this topic will be debated right up until the Fed makes the announcement.
Bonds and home loan rates saw quite a bit of activity in the holiday shortened week, but ended up exactly where they started.
Affordable Mortgage coming to a home near you…
November 14, 2007
Effective Monday, November 12, 2007 the DC Bond Program interest rate will be revised to 5.60% and 2 points!This is good news for purchasers who are looking to get their first place!The DC Housing Finance Agency is offering special programs to help make home ownership more affordable through a DC Bond Program.This special program is available to home buyers interested in purchasing in Washington, DC. Funds will be given on a first come, first-served basis so act quickly to see if you qualify.These programs offer below-market interest rateson a 30-year fixed rate loan to qualified candidates.Additional assistance programs may apply dependingon your qualifications.Find out more by calling Jordan Milne today.As a participating lender, he can help you determine if you qualify. After all, we’ve been making homeownership a reality for more than 110 years. An opportunity for homeownership you can’t afford to miss…Courtesy of Jordan Milne, BF Saul Mortgage 240-497-8533
